From Morocco to South Africa, Israel election watched closely across Africa

October 27 vote could test whether Israel’s ties with African countries withstand the fallout from the war on Gaza. Save Share Lagos, Nigeria –As Israelisprepare to voteon October 27, African governments from Pretoria to Rabat are weighing what the result could mean for their own foreign and domestic policies. The war on Gaza has exposed sharp differences across the continent, with some governments pursuing diplomatic measures against Israel while others maintain commercial and security ties. Recent polling has shown a closely contested race between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party and the far-right coalition it leads and a bloc ofJewish-led opposition parties. Neither is projected to win the 61 seats needed for a majority in the 120-seat Knesset, with a protracted period of coalition talks expected to follow the vote. The next government’s approach to Gaza and the Palestinian question could influence Israel’s efforts to preserve and expand its partnerships across the continent. Israel’s relationships across Africa are shaped by competing priorities. While the Gaza war has intensified diplomatic pressure and public opposition in many countries, security needs, commercial interests and longstanding bilateral partnerships continue to influence government decisions. Since the war began in October 2023, South Africa has emerged as one of Israel’s most vocal critics in Africa. Its government brought a case against Israel at the International Court of Justice (ICJ), alleging violations of the 1948 Genocide Convention. Israel rejects the allegations. The court’s so-calledprovisional measuresin 2024, including an order for Israel to take action to prevent acts of genocide, are not a final ruling on whether genocide has occurred. In November 2023, South Africa’s National Assembly adopted a motion calling on the government to close the Israeli embassy and suspend diplomatic relations. The motion did not itself implement those measures, but it underscored the strength of political opposition to Israel’s military campaign. Other African governments have taken different approaches that reflect national political priorities and foreign policy calculations rather than a single continental position. Chad recalled its ambassador to Israel in November 2023, while some countries have maintained relations despite criticism of Israel’s military campaign in Gaza. Morocco offers a contrasting example....